Kwinqanaba lokubonelela namhlanje, ulindele njani izinto ezingenziwanga ukuba zenzeke?
Kuloluhlu lwamanqaku anamhlanje, kubalulekile ukuba iinkampani zivelise izinto zokufakelwa kwezinto kwaye ezingenziwanga. Abavelisi baya kusebenzisa ukubikezela izinto zokuqinisekisa ukuba bavelisa umgangatho wezinto eziwanelisayo abathengi babo ngaphandle kokuvelisa imeko engaphaya kwamanzi apho kubalwa i-inventory eninzi kwaye ihlala kwi-shelf.
Ngokulinganayo, umgaqo-nkqubo awufanele upheleke kwaye umenzi uyazifumana ngaphandle kwempahla ukuzalisekisa imiyalelo yabathengi.
Iindleko zokungaphumeleli ukugcina ingxelo echanekileyo zinokuba yintlekele ngemali.
Iingxelo zi nokuba:
- Isatisati
- Ezingezizo
Iziganeko zenkqubela ziphuhliswa kwizinto ezigqityiweyo zenkampani, izakhi kunye nesevisi. I-projection isetyenziswe iqela lokuvelisa ukuphuhlisa imveliso okanye ukuthenga umyalelo wokuthenga , ubuninzi kunye namanqanaba okugcina .
Isibikezelo asikho esicacileyo kwaye kufuneka sihlaziywe ngabaphathi rhoqo. Oku kukuqinisekisa ukuba ulwazi malunga neemeko ezizayo, imo yangaphakathi okanye yangaphandle ifakwe kwinqanaba lokunika ubungqina obuchanekileyo.
UkuThatyelwa kweSatisati
Kwi-software yolawulo lwenkonzo yokubonelela, uqikelelo lubalo lubonakalisa idatha esuka kwiintengiselwano zengqesho zangempela kwaye kusekelwe kwiisethi zezinto eziguqukileyo ezilungiselelwe inani leemeko zokubikezela izibalo.
Abaqeqeshi bokucwangcisa kufuneka ukuba basebenzise isofthiwe ukubonelela imeko efanelekileyo yokubikezela kwaye ngokuqhelekileyo oku kushiywa kungagqalwa ngaphandle kokuhlaziywa kwexesha elide.
Ukusebenzisa ngokufanelekileyo iindlela zobubikezelo kwisofthiwe yokutya, abacwangcisi kufuneka bahlolisise izigqibo zabo ngokumalunga nemeko yangaphakathi nangaphandle.
Bamele bahlengahlengise ukubala ukubonelela ngokuchanekileyo ngokumalunga nolwazi olukhoyo.
Izibikezelo zesitatisti ziqikelelwa ngokuthe ngqo kwizinto eziza kwenzeka kwikamva ngokubhekiselele kwimfuno eyenzeka ngaphambili.
Idatha yeemfuno zeembali ingasetyenziselwa ukuvelisa i- forecast ngokusebenzisa i-regression elula . Oku kunika ukulingana okulinganayo kwimfuno yexesha lembali kunye neeprojekthi iimfuno kwixesha elizayo.
Nangona kunjalo, izibikezelo namhlanje zigxininisa ngakumbi kwiinkcukacha ezifunekayo zakutshanje kunedatha endala. Oku kubizwa ngokuthi kuthungwa kwaye kuveliswa ngokunika ubunzima kwidatha yakutshanje. Ukunyusa okubhekiselele kubhekiselele kubunzima obuninzi obunikwe kwixesha elidlulileyo lembali. Ngenxa yoko iinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo zinomlinganiselo omkhulu kunokuba zinyanga ezintandathu zedlulileyo.
I-Alpha Factor
Ukulinganiswa kubizwa ngokuba yi-Alpha Factor kunye nokuphakanyiswa kokulinganisa, okanye i-Alpha yenkxaso yexesha elimbalwa elisetyenziselwa ukudala i-forecast.
Ngokomzekelo, i-Alpha ephezulu into eyenza ukulinganisa okuphezulu kumaxesha amuva kunye nokufuna ukususela kumaxesha eminyaka okanye kwiminyaka emibili edlulileyo kunzima kangangokuthi abanakho ukubhekiselele kwimibono yonke. Ixabiso elingu-Alpha eliphantsi lithetha idatha yembali echaphazelekayo.
Ixesha lembali liqulethe iinkcukacha zedata ukusuka kwinyanga ehleliweyo, oko kukuthi ngoJuni okanye ngoJulayi. Nangona kunjalo, oku kufaka iphutha ekubaleni njengoko ezinye iinyanga zineentsuku ezingaphezulu kunezinye iinyanga kwaye inani leentsuku zomsebenzi liyahluka.
Ezinye iinkampani zisebenzisa izidingo zemihla ngemihla ukunciphisa le mpazamo, nangona ukuba i-forecaster iyayiqonda iphutha, iinyanga zembali zenyanga zingasetyenziselwa kunye nesalathisi sokulandelela ukuchonga xa i-prediction ilahleka kakhulu kwixabiso elikhoyo. Iqondo apho iimpawu zeeplaygi zokulandelela ezichanekileyo zichongiwe yi-forecaster okanye software kwaye ziyahluka phakathi kwamashishini, iinkampani kunye nemveliso.
Ukuphambuka okuncinci kungadinga ukungenelelo xa umkhiqizo uqikelelwe kukubaluleka kwexabiso eliphezulu, kanti ixabiso elincinci lexabiso lingafuneki ukuba lihlolwe lihlolwe kwizinga eliphezulu.
Ukungabikho kweSatisati
Ukubikezela okungekho-manqaku kufumaneka kwisofthiwe yolawulo lwenkonzo yokubonelela apho kufuneke ukuba kufunwa imfuno ngokusekelwe kumanani anqunywe ngabacwangcisi bemveliso.
Oku kwenzeka xa umcwangcisi engena ngobungakanani obunokuthi bayakholelwa ukuba imfuno iya kuba ngaphandle kokubhekiselele kwimfuno yembali.
Olunye ubikezelo olungabonakaliyo olwenzekayo lwenzekayo xa imfuno yento isekelwe kwimiphumo yezidingo zamalungiselelo (MRP).
Oku kuthatha isidingo sokugqiba kakuhle kwaye kuqhubhisa i- bill yezinto zokubakho ukwenzela ukuba imfuno ibalwe kumacandelo amacandelo. Icandelo lexabiso linokutshintshwa ngumcwangcisi ngokusekelwe kovavanyo lwabo kunye nolwazi lwendawo yangoku.
Isibikezelo esibangelwayo sisekelwe kwiimfuno zangoku kwaye asiyi kufaka nayiphi na imfuno kwixesha elidlulileyo. Iinkampani ezininzi ziza kusebenzisa ukudibanisa kwezinto ezingabonakaliyo kunye nezibalo kwi-line yomkhiqizo wazo.
Ukubikezelwa kwesitatisti kusekelwe kwizibalo ezinzima kwaye ixabiso elizayo linokumiselwa ngokubhekiselele kwimfuno kwixesha elidlulileyo.
Isibikezelo sinika umcwangcisi isikhokelo sokufuna imfuneko, kodwa akukho nto ichazwe ngokuchanileyo kwaye abacwangcisi namava kunye nolwazi malunga neendawo zangoku kunye nexesha elizayo kubalulekile ekuqaliseni ixabiso elizayo lemveliso yenkampani.
Eli nqaku liye lahlaziywa nguGary Marion, Logistics and Supply Chain Expert ye-Balance.